The report is heavily stock focused and difficult to parse, but the headline number is far above earlier launch estimates that reportedly sat around 20 to 25 million copies. Piper Sandler's projection nearly doubles those prior figures, and Take-Two Interactive stock reportedly jumped six percent after the analysis circulated online.
Take-Two shares have shown volatility around anything tied to GTA 6, including when comments about a potential delay spread widely. Even with summer here, the window Take-Two previously tied to a ramp up in GTA 6 marketing has not yet produced concrete campaign details from Rockstar Games.
If the 45 million projection holds, GTA 6 would clear a launch bar set by one of the biggest releases in history. Gaming has grown since 2013, though the current console install base is reportedly far lower than what GTA 5 had at launch. Take-Two never confirmed Red Dead Redemption 2 day one sales, but that title is reported to have sold over 17 million copies in its first fortnight.
